2025 NFL Season Stat Leaders: Predictions for Passing, Rushing, Receiving, and Sacks

Ben Solak predicts the NFL 2025 season leaders in passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and sacks, with detailed analysis and player insights.

Passing Yards

Last season, Joe Burrow led the NFL in passing yards with 4,918 yards, largely due to the Bengals' pass-first offense and their porous defense. This season, Burrow remains a strong contender, but other quarterbacks like Dak Prescott, Trevor Lawrence, and Michael Penix Jr. are also in the mix. Prescott, in particular, could benefit from a weak Dallas backfield and a defense that might force high-scoring games.

Key Contenders:

  • Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys): With a weak backfield and a potentially struggling defense, Prescott could see a high volume of pass attempts.
  • Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars): Under new head coach Liam Coen, Lawrence could lead a pass-heavy offense.
  • Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons): Known for his deep throws, Penix could accumulate significant yardage if the Falcons' defense struggles.

Interceptions Thrown

Predicting which quarterback will throw the most interceptions is a delicate balance between being bad enough to throw picks but good enough to stay on the field. Jared Goff, Geno Smith, and Trevor Lawrence are among the top candidates. Goff, with his high pass attempts and a new offensive coordinator, could be at risk.

Key Contenders:

  • Jared Goff (Detroit Lions): High pass volume and a new offensive coordinator could lead to more interceptions.
  • Geno Smith (Las Vegas Raiders): A new team and a potentially high pass rate could increase his interception count.
  • Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars): A new offense and receivers could lead to more risky throws.

Receiving Yards

Ja'Marr Chase led the NFL in receiving yards last season, and he remains a top contender. However, other receivers like Nico Collins, CeeDee Lamb, and Drake London could also lead the league. Collins, in particular, could benefit from a thin Texans receiving corps and a new offensive coordinator.

Key Contenders:

  • Nico Collins (Houston Texans): With a thin receiving corps, Collins could see a high target share.
  • CeeDee Lamb (Dallas Cowboys): The addition of George Pickens could open up more opportunities for Lamb.
  • Drake London (Atlanta Falcons): If Michael Penix Jr. gets more pass attempts, London could see a significant increase in targets.

Rushing Yards

Josh Jacobs, Saquon Barkley, and Derrick Henry are the top contenders for leading the NFL in rushing yards. Jacobs, in particular, could benefit from a strong Packers running game and a lack of competition in the backfield.

Key Contenders:

  • Josh Jacobs (Green Bay Packers): With a strong running game and little competition, Jacobs could lead the league in rushing.
  • Saquon Barkley (Philadelphia Eagles): Despite sharing carries with Jalen Hurts, Barkley remains a top contender.
  • Derrick Henry (Baltimore Ravens): Even at 31, Henry’s talent and volume make him a strong candidate.

Sacks

Micah Parsons, Trey Hendrickson, and Myles Garrett are the top contenders for leading the NFL in sacks. Parsons, in particular, could benefit from a new defensive scheme in Green Bay.

Key Contenders:

  • Micah Parsons (Green Bay Packers): A new defensive scheme could unlock Parsons’ full potential.
  • Trey Hendrickson (Cincinnati Bengals): After leading the league last season, Hendrickson remains a strong contender.
  • Myles Garrett (Cleveland Browns): Always a threat, Garrett could lead the league in sacks with a strong season.

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