MLB Saturday Showdown: Expert Fantasy Baseball Lineup Tips and Betting Insights
Get expert advice on setting your MLB fantasy baseball lineups and betting tips for Saturday's games. Includes pitcher rankings, hitter insights, and matchup analysis.
Starting Pitchers for Saturday
Here are the top starting pitchers for Saturday’s MLB games, ranked by their projected fantasy points (FPTS) using ESPN’s standard scoring system:
| FPTS | Team | Pitcher | Handedness | Opponent | Roster % | Money Line | Over/Under | Win % | IP | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.3 | Freddy Peralta | R | @LAD | 96.6% | +120 | 8.5 | 52% | 5.6 | 2.2 | 6.4 | |
| 11.6 | Sonny Gray | R | @ARI | 96.7% | -125 | 8.5 | 63% | 5.6 | 2.4 | 6.1 | |
| 11.3 | Yusei Kikuchi | L | @PHI | 74.5% | +110 | 9.5 | 55% | 5.7 | 2.6 | 6.4 | |
| 11.2 | Logan Webb | R | @TOR | 99.2% | -120 | 8.5 | 63% | 6.2 | 2.7 | 5.4 | |
| 11.1 | Shota Imanaga | L | BOS | 94.7% | -155 | 7.5 | 57% | 5.8 | 2.6 | 5.6 |
Pitchers to Stream on Saturday
Adrian Houser (Chicago White Sox)
- Houser has been consistent with seven quality starts out of eight outings. Despite a 1.56 ERA, his 4.06 xFIP suggests regression, but he’s a safe bet against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers)
- Sheehan has shown promise with 13 strikeouts in 13.1 innings. Facing the Milwaukee Brewers, he has a good chance for a quality start.
Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres)
- Darvish is poised for a strong second half. His first post-break outing is against the Washington Nationals, who have a low wOBA against right-handers.
Pitchers to Avoid on Saturday
Shota Imanaga (Chicago Cubs)
- Imanaga faces the Boston Red Sox, who have a top-five wOBA against left-handers, making this a risky start.
Best and Worst Matchups for Pitchers
Best Matchups
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: The average pitcher would post a 3.47 ERA in this matchup.
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: The average pitcher would post a 3.92 ERA.
Worst Matchups
- Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins: The average pitcher would post a 6.14 ERA.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Colorado Rockies: The average pitcher would post a 5.79 ERA.
Hitters to Stream on Saturday
Joey Wentz (Atlanta Braves)
- Wentz is a risky start but could benefit from the platoon edge against the New York Yankees.
Best and Worst Matchups for Hitters
Best Matchups
- Colorado Rockies vs. Twins Pitchers: The average hitter would post a .373 wOBA.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Rockies Pitchers: The average hitter would post a .381 wOBA.
Worst Matchups
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Giants Pitchers: The average hitter would post a .280 wOBA.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Rangers Pitchers: The average hitter would post a .282 wOBA.
Betting Tips
Top Home Run Prop Bets
- Brenton Doyle (OVER 0.5 HR, +800): 14% chance with a $29.60 EV.
- Ryan McMahon (OVER 0.5 HR, +500): 19% chance with a $11.84 EV.
Top Pitcher Prop Bets
- Clay Holmes (UNDER 4.5 K, +110): 55% chance with a $14.72 EV.
- Kumar Rocker (OVER 4.5 K, -120): 59% chance with a $10.26 EV.
For more detailed betting projections and fantasy advice, visit EV Analytics.
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